Estimation of Hidden Variance Distribution Parameters
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United States of America Patent
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Sep 22, 2016
app pub date -
May 31, 2016
filing date -
May 31, 2016
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Abstract
Methods for finding (i) the parameter var(σ2), representing the variance of a prior historical distribution ρC (σ2) of hidden error variances σ2; (ii) the parameter “a” defining the rate of change of the mean ensemble variance response to changes in true error variance; (iii) the parameter σmin2 representing a prior historical minimum of true error variance; (iv) the parameter k−1, representing the relative variance of the stochastic component of variance prediction error; and (v) the parameter M, representing the effective ensemble size.
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